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Risk4 MIN READ

The key risks in a land deal – and how to manage them

Every opportunity carries risk. The goal is not to avoid it blindly but to map it, size it, and plan for it. Here is the simple framework we use.

CGR
Connection Group Research
Apr 22, 2026

As human beings, we tend to be risk-averse, which makes many of us uncomfortable when it comes to taking risks in personal, financial or professional situations. Yet it is important to remember that every opportunity comes with a certain level of risk. As the boxing champion Muhammad Ali once said, “He who is not courageous enough to take risks will accomplish nothing in life.” We do not advocate blind risk-taking or going against your instincts. Instead, we suggest managing the risks involved in real estate transactions, rather than letting them control you. This lets you seize the opportunity while taking the risks into account and minimising them to a manageable level.

How can this be achieved? We will explain right away.

When engaging in a real estate transaction, how can potential risks be reduced effectively?

When it comes to managing risk in a real estate transaction, there are various approaches you can take. We have chosen to focus on a simple formula that has proven effective for our clients and for ourselves. This matrix is relatively easy to grasp and can be conveniently presented in a clear table. It is important to note that if you lack experience in this particular field, it may be difficult to identify and accurately assess the risks, nuances and procedures involved. We therefore suggest seeking guidance from a professional expert in the industry.

As part of our risk-management strategy, we consider several key factors to ensure comprehensive coverage. These include, among others, an assessment of potential risks, the likelihood of such risks occurring and their potential impact. By taking these factors into account, we are better equipped to proactively manage potential risks and minimise any adverse consequences that may arise.

It is crucial to map out the various risks involved in a given deal. This comprehensive list includes every possible risk, such as obstacles in obtaining approval from the local municipality, potential problems with loan and repayment agreements, and any delay that may arise in the planning process. These risks range from those that are visible and easily identifiable to those that depend on individual circumstances, as well as those whose likelihood of occurring or negative impact is relatively low.

In this article we focus on the extent of the damage in terms of how it will affect you personally. The severity of the damage is graded on a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 represents the least significant level of damage and 5 represents the most severe.

When assessing risk, it is important to consider the likelihood of it occurring. Specifically, we focus on the probability that this particular risk will materialise. Typically this probability is classified in percentage ranges. For example, a probability of 1% to 20% would be considered very low, while 21% to 40% would be low. A probability of 41% to 60% would be considered medium, 61% to 80% would be high, and 81% to 100% would be considered very likely.

To address each risk, we put in place measures that prevent or reduce the impact of potential damage, or that minimise the likelihood of such risks ever arising. These preventive actions are essential to ensuring the longevity and stability of any operation or endeavour.

Should a risk materialise, it is essential to have a planned, practical response in place. This is where the specific actions to be taken against each potential risk must be carefully considered and set out. It is vital to approach this process with focused, rational thinking in order to prepare as well as possible for any potential outcome.

What purpose does all this detail serve?

In real estate transactions, managing risk effectively is crucial. Once all the relevant data has been gathered and assembled, it is important to create a comprehensive summary that allows us to better understand and prepare for these risks. To achieve this, a colour map is usually created, taking into account the probability that the damage will materialise and the severity of the damage on a scale of 1 to 5, as described above. By combining these two elements, we can determine the level of risk.

For example, if the damage is graded as negligible (1) and the likelihood of it occurring is fairly low, we would define the risk as light and mark it green. Conversely, if the damage is graded as catastrophic (5) and the likelihood of it occurring is low, we would define the risk as medium and mark it orange. The more significant the risk in relation to the real estate transaction, the more effective the risk-reduction and damage-prevention methods that will be developed.

If you are considering purchasing real estate, why not turn to us for professional advice? Our team is here to provide professional guidance and help you make informed decisions – and the experts at Connection Group will be glad to assist.

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The Connection Group Journal is published for general information and educational purposes only. Nothing here is legal, tax, financial, or investment advice, an offer of securities, or a solicitation. Any land investment carries risk, including planning delays, regulatory change, illiquidity, and potential loss of capital. No return or rezoning outcome is guaranteed. Consult independent legal, tax, and financial advisors before any decision.

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Investing in land, including planning-based land opportunities in Israel, involves significant risk. You should review the following with your own legal, tax, and financial advisors before making any decision. The risks include, without limitation:

This summary is not exhaustive. A full statement of risk factors is provided in the investor materials and should be read in full.

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